Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 40%
23°C 31%
25°C 11%
22°C 7%
新規
$18,980 Vol.
新規
$18,980 Vol.
2026/04/17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
31%
24°C
40%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 40%
23°C 31%
25°C 11%
22°C 7%
新規
$18,980 Vol.
新規
$18,980 Vol.
2026/04/17
18°C or below
$3,341 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,154 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,472 Vol.
7%
23°C
$1,383 Vol.
31%
24°C
$964 Vol.
40%
25°C
$1,311 Vol.
11%
26°C
$1,375 Vol.
4%
27°C
$988 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$1,067 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$18,980終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,980終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy driving trader consensus toward a 24°C peak in Milan on April 17, with 39.5% implied probability edging out 23°C at 32%, reflecting model spread in maximum 2-meter temperatures around 23–25°C. This above-average warmth—April climatological highs average 18°C at Milano Linate Airport—stems from warm southerly advection and sunny conditions minimizing cloud cover, though uncertainties in afternoon heating, urban heat island effects, and slight timing differences in peak solar insolation differentiate the closely matched outcomes. Traders await final 12z model runs and hourly guidance from the Italian Meteorological Service for resolution clarity near midday.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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