Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
78~79°F 31%
80〜81°F 26%
華氏77度以下 19%
82〜83°F 16%
$18,160 Vol.
$18,160 Vol.
華氏77度以下
19%
78~79°F
31%
80〜81°F
26%
82〜83°F
16%
84〜85°F
9%
86~87°F
2%
88~89°F
1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
78~79°F 31%
80〜81°F 26%
華氏77度以下 19%
82〜83°F 16%
$18,160 Vol.
$18,160 Vol.
華氏77度以下
19%
78~79°F
31%
80〜81°F
26%
82〜83°F
16%
84〜85°F
9%
86~87°F
2%
88~89°F
1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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