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4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?

Market icon

4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?

78~79°F 31%

80〜81°F 26%

華氏77度以下 19%

82〜83°F 16%

Polymarket
新規

$18,160 Vol.

78~79°F 31%

80〜81°F 26%

華氏77度以下 19%

82〜83°F 16%

Polymarket
新規

$18,160 Vol.

華氏77度以下

$2,929 Vol.

19%

78~79°F

$1,649 Vol.

31%

80〜81°F

$1,043 Vol.

26%

82〜83°F

$841 Vol.

16%

84〜85°F

$858 Vol.

9%

86~87°F

$1,292 Vol.

2%

88~89°F

$3,937 Vol.

1%

90〜91°F

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

92〜93°F

$1,008 Vol.

<1%

94〜95°F

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

96°F以上

$2,252 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,160
終了日
2026/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 78-81°F ranges for New York City's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs near 79-80°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast. This setup drives warm southerly flow, advecting unseasonably mild air masses—well above the typical April mid-60s climatology at Central Park—while gusty southwest winds enhance mixing and daytime heating. Close odds between 78-79°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (25.5%) stem from minor model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and potential sea-breeze moderation near coastal NYC, with lower probabilities for extremes due to historical rarity beyond 85°F this early. Watch NWS updates and real-time Central Park observations for resolution shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,160
終了日
2026/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「78~79°F」で31%、次いで「80〜81°F」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、31¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に31%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?」は$18.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 15, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「78~79°F」で31%であり、市場がこの結果に31%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「80〜81°F」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。