Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 68-69°F (30.5% implied probability) and 66-67°F (28.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model spread for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) highs on April 17 amid a persistent coastal marine layer. Recent 12z GFS and ECMWF runs issued April 15 show mid-to-upper 60s peaks under moderate onshore flow (10-15 mph west winds) and a weak upper-level ridge over California, with climatological April average highs near 64°F providing baseline context. Key differentiator: timing of stratocumulus cloud deck burn-off—if clearing by midday, upper bins gain; prolonged stratus favors lowers. Watch 00z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast tweak for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
66-67°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
17%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 24%
64-65°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
57°F or below
$860 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,877 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,990 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$680 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$445 Vol.
17%
66-67°F
$340 Vol.
29%
68-69°F
$535 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$453 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$627 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$758 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$1,186 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 68-69°F (30.5% implied probability) and 66-67°F (28.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model spread for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) highs on April 17 amid a persistent coastal marine layer. Recent 12z GFS and ECMWF runs issued April 15 show mid-to-upper 60s peaks under moderate onshore flow (10-15 mph west winds) and a weak upper-level ridge over California, with climatological April average highs near 64°F providing baseline context. Key differentiator: timing of stratocumulus cloud deck burn-off—if clearing by midday, upper bins gain; prolonged stratus favors lowers. Watch 00z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast tweak for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
音量
$9,301終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 68-69°F (30.5% implied probability) and 66-67°F (28.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model spread for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) highs on April 17 amid a persistent coastal marine layer. Recent 12z GFS and ECMWF runs issued April 15 show mid-to-upper 60s peaks under moderate onshore flow (10-15 mph west winds) and a weak upper-level ridge over California, with climatological April average highs near 64°F providing baseline context. Key differentiator: timing of stratocumulus cloud deck burn-off—if clearing by midday, upper bins gain; prolonged stratus favors lowers. Watch 00z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast tweak for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$9,301終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 68-69°F (30.5% implied probability) and 66-67°F (28.5%), reflecting National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model spread for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) highs on April 17 amid a persistent coastal marine layer. Recent 12z GFS and ECMWF runs issued April 15 show mid-to-upper 60s peaks under moderate onshore flow (10-15 mph west winds) and a weak upper-level ridge over California, with climatological April average highs near 64°F providing baseline context. Key differentiator: timing of stratocumulus cloud deck burn-off—if clearing by midday, upper bins gain; prolonged stratus favors lowers. Watch 00z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast tweak for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問