Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target due to energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% deposit rate on March 19 while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This data shift has fueled trader consensus implying a 74.5% probability of at least one ECB rate hike in 2026, with interest rate swaps pricing around two 25-basis-point increases amid sticky core inflation and wage pressures. Policymakers signal readiness to tighten if inflation persists, though officials lean against an April 30 move absent further evidence, keeping the path data-dependent through year-end meetings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$94,032 거래량
$94,032 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$94,032 거래량
$94,032 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target due to energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% deposit rate on March 19 while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This data shift has fueled trader consensus implying a 74.5% probability of at least one ECB rate hike in 2026, with interest rate swaps pricing around two 25-basis-point increases amid sticky core inflation and wage pressures. Policymakers signal readiness to tighten if inflation persists, though officials lean against an April 30 move absent further evidence, keeping the path data-dependent through year-end meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
거래량
$94,032종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target due to energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% deposit rate on March 19 while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This data shift has fueled trader consensus implying a 74.5% probability of at least one ECB rate hike in 2026, with interest rate swaps pricing around two 25-basis-point increases amid sticky core inflation and wage pressures. Policymakers signal readiness to tighten if inflation persists, though officials lean against an April 30 move absent further evidence, keeping the path data-dependent through year-end meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$94,032종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target due to energy price shocks from Middle East tensions, prompting the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% deposit rate on March 19 while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This data shift has fueled trader consensus implying a 74.5% probability of at least one ECB rate hike in 2026, with interest rate swaps pricing around two 25-basis-point increases amid sticky core inflation and wage pressures. Policymakers signal readiness to tighten if inflation persists, though officials lean against an April 30 move absent further evidence, keeping the path data-dependent through year-end meetings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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