Latest Roshydromet forecasts project a daytime high of 15°C in Moscow on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with 71% precipitation probability and light winds, yet trader consensus on Polymarket prices 12°C as the leading outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 13°C at 25.5% and 11°C at 17%, reflecting caution over potential cloud cover capping peak temperatures amid an incoming frontal system. April 2026 has featured above-normal warmth (+1.6°C monthly anomaly versus 6.9°C norm), with April 16 highs near 14°C per recent reports, but short-range model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show spread due to upper-air ridging sensitivity and moisture influx. Updated forecasts due every 6-12 hours could refine these market-implied odds before resolution at official stations like VVC.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 37%
13°C 26%
11°C 17%
14°C 14%
$14,916 거래량
$14,916 거래량
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
17%
12°C
37%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 26%
11°C 17%
14°C 14%
$14,916 거래량
$14,916 거래량
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
6%
11°C
17%
12°C
37%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Roshydromet forecasts project a daytime high of 15°C in Moscow on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with 71% precipitation probability and light winds, yet trader consensus on Polymarket prices 12°C as the leading outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 13°C at 25.5% and 11°C at 17%, reflecting caution over potential cloud cover capping peak temperatures amid an incoming frontal system. April 2026 has featured above-normal warmth (+1.6°C monthly anomaly versus 6.9°C norm), with April 16 highs near 14°C per recent reports, but short-range model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show spread due to upper-air ridging sensitivity and moisture influx. Updated forecasts due every 6-12 hours could refine these market-implied odds before resolution at official stations like VVC.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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