Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in global forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles converging on Tel Aviv highs of 33–35°C for April 17 amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly advection. Israel Meteorological Service observations show temperatures climbing from 30°C on April 14 to 32–34°C recently, driven by dropping humidity and reduced sea breeze influence early in the day, though afternoon northerlies could cap peaks below 35°C. Model spreads highlight sensitivity to cloud timing and urban heat island effects at the official Tel Aviv station; watch IMS updates and final 00Z runs overnight for shifts, as inherent short-range forecast divergence keeps outcomes closely matched.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 36%
33°C 27%
34°C 25%
32°C 9%
$11,542 거래량
$11,542 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
27%
34°C
25%
35°C or higher
36%
35°C or higher 36%
33°C 27%
34°C 25%
32°C 9%
$11,542 거래량
$11,542 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
27%
34°C
25%
35°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in global forecast models, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles converging on Tel Aviv highs of 33–35°C for April 17 amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering subsidence, clear skies, and warm southerly advection. Israel Meteorological Service observations show temperatures climbing from 30°C on April 14 to 32–34°C recently, driven by dropping humidity and reduced sea breeze influence early in the day, though afternoon northerlies could cap peaks below 35°C. Model spreads highlight sensitivity to cloud timing and urban heat island effects at the official Tel Aviv station; watch IMS updates and final 00Z runs overnight for shifts, as inherent short-range forecast divergence keeps outcomes closely matched.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문