Redistricting ordered by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new Democratic-leaning 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in the 2024 presidential election and forecasters now rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Ben McAdams, the former U.S. representative who previously held overlapping territory, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 52-60% of the vote against more progressive challengers, bringing established name recognition and a sizable fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces an open seat without an incumbent and trails significantly in resources. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and candidate fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unexpected shifts in local turnout could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in comparable districts suggests limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$42,063 ปริมาณ
$42,063 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$42,063 ปริมาณ
$42,063 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,649 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$36,414 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting ordered by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new Democratic-leaning 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in the 2024 presidential election and forecasters now rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Ben McAdams, the former U.S. representative who previously held overlapping territory, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 52-60% of the vote against more progressive challengers, bringing established name recognition and a sizable fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces an open seat without an incumbent and trails significantly in resources. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and candidate fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unexpected shifts in local turnout could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in comparable districts suggests limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,063วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting ordered by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new Democratic-leaning 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in the 2024 presidential election and forecasters now rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Ben McAdams, the former U.S. representative who previously held overlapping territory, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 52-60% of the vote against more progressive challengers, bringing established name recognition and a sizable fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces an open seat without an incumbent and trails significantly in resources. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and candidate fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unexpected shifts in local turnout could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in comparable districts suggests limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,063วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting ordered by Utah courts in late 2025 created a new Democratic-leaning 1st District anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in the 2024 presidential election and forecasters now rate it Solid or Safe Democratic. Ben McAdams, the former U.S. representative who previously held overlapping territory, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 52-60% of the vote against more progressive challengers, bringing established name recognition and a sizable fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, faces an open seat without an incumbent and trails significantly in resources. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these structural and candidate fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, major scandal involving the Democratic nominee, or unexpected shifts in local turnout could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in comparable districts suggests limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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