Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March, surpassing the ECB's 2% target amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict's oil shock. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19, lifting its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 2.1% and signaling no imminent easing in forward guidance. Banks such as Goldman Sachs now project potential 25 basis point hikes in April and June, while Reuters polls show most economists expect rates on hold through year-end. This hawkish repricing, with upcoming April 30 decision looming, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% for no ECB rate cut in 2026, embodying skin-in-the-game bets on persistent inflationary pressures delaying monetary policy loosening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$25,095 Hac.
$25,095 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$25,095 Hac.
$25,095 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March, surpassing the ECB's 2% target amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict's oil shock. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19, lifting its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 2.1% and signaling no imminent easing in forward guidance. Banks such as Goldman Sachs now project potential 25 basis point hikes in April and June, while Reuters polls show most economists expect rates on hold through year-end. This hawkish repricing, with upcoming April 30 decision looming, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% for no ECB rate cut in 2026, embodying skin-in-the-game bets on persistent inflationary pressures delaying monetary policy loosening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Hacim
$25,095Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March, surpassing the ECB's 2% target amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict's oil shock. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19, lifting its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 2.1% and signaling no imminent easing in forward guidance. Banks such as Goldman Sachs now project potential 25 basis point hikes in April and June, while Reuters polls show most economists expect rates on hold through year-end. This hawkish repricing, with upcoming April 30 decision looming, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% for no ECB rate cut in 2026, embodying skin-in-the-game bets on persistent inflationary pressures delaying monetary policy loosening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$25,095Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March, surpassing the ECB's 2% target amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict's oil shock. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19, lifting its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 2.1% and signaling no imminent easing in forward guidance. Banks such as Goldman Sachs now project potential 25 basis point hikes in April and June, while Reuters polls show most economists expect rates on hold through year-end. This hawkish repricing, with upcoming April 30 decision looming, underpins trader consensus at 76.5% for no ECB rate cut in 2026, embodying skin-in-the-game bets on persistent inflationary pressures delaying monetary policy loosening.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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