Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 35%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
35%
22°C
22%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 35%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
15°C or below
$1,348 交易量
1%
16°C
$883 交易量
<1%
17°C
$759 交易量
1%
18°C
$908 交易量
3%
19°C
$419 交易量
16%
20°C
$780 交易量
23%
21°C
$434 交易量
35%
22°C
$984 交易量
22%
23°C
$1,059 交易量
7%
24°C
$1,072 交易量
2%
25°C or higher
$892 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$9,300結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,300結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions