Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C at 50% implied probability. Ankara's continental climate typically produces peak August highs near 31–32°C, and current model consensus shows no significant advection of warmer air masses or thermal troughs that would push readings toward 34°C or above. Light northerly winds and low humidity further limit diurnal heating, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% probability while supporting the combined 75% odds on 31–33°C. Updated model runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key near-term variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月9日安卡拉的最高溫度？
32°C 50%
31°C 25%
33°C 21%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
25%
32°C
50%
33°C
21%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 25%
33°C 21%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
28°C or below
$480 交易量
<1%
29°C
$57 交易量
2%
30°C
$24 交易量
5%
31°C
$439 交易量
25%
32°C
$92 交易量
50%
33°C
$67 交易量
21%
34°C
$21 交易量
3%
35°C
$10 交易量
1%
36°C
$34 交易量
1%
37°C
$77 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$141 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C at 50% implied probability. Ankara's continental climate typically produces peak August highs near 31–32°C, and current model consensus shows no significant advection of warmer air masses or thermal troughs that would push readings toward 34°C or above. Light northerly winds and low humidity further limit diurnal heating, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% probability while supporting the combined 75% odds on 31–33°C. Updated model runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key near-term variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,443結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C at 50% implied probability. Ankara's continental climate typically produces peak August highs near 31–32°C, and current model consensus shows no significant advection of warmer air masses or thermal troughs that would push readings toward 34°C or above. Light northerly winds and low humidity further limit diurnal heating, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% probability while supporting the combined 75% odds on 31–33°C. Updated model runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key near-term variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,443結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a maximum of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under persistent high pressure and sunny skies, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C at 50% implied probability. Ankara's continental climate typically produces peak August highs near 31–32°C, and current model consensus shows no significant advection of warmer air masses or thermal troughs that would push readings toward 34°C or above. Light northerly winds and low humidity further limit diurnal heating, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% probability while supporting the combined 75% odds on 31–33°C. Updated model runs and any afternoon convective development remain the key near-term variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions