Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 28°C high in Chengdu on April 17 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C (28.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts converging near 28°C amid mid-April warming trends. Recent overcast conditions capped April 15–16 highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C, but models now anticipate partly sunny skies with southerly winds boosting solar insolation and temperatures above the monthly average of 24–25°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker clouds could hold at 27°C, while clearer conditions favor 29°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty; final CMA observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 23%
26°C 12%
最新
$12,065 交易量
最新
$12,065 交易量
2026-04-17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
23%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 23%
26°C 12%
最新
$12,065 交易量
最新
$12,065 交易量
2026-04-17
22°C or below
$2,450 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,869 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,484 交易量
1%
25°C
$845 交易量
3%
26°C
$479 交易量
12%
27°C
$381 交易量
23%
28°C
$292 交易量
35%
29°C
$232 交易量
29%
30°C
$347 交易量
9%
31°C
$660 交易量
3%
32°C or higher
$1,029 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 28°C high in Chengdu on April 17 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C (28.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts converging near 28°C amid mid-April warming trends. Recent overcast conditions capped April 15–16 highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C, but models now anticipate partly sunny skies with southerly winds boosting solar insolation and temperatures above the monthly average of 24–25°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker clouds could hold at 27°C, while clearer conditions favor 29°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty; final CMA observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$12,065結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 28°C high in Chengdu on April 17 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C (28.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts converging near 28°C amid mid-April warming trends. Recent overcast conditions capped April 15–16 highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C, but models now anticipate partly sunny skies with southerly winds boosting solar insolation and temperatures above the monthly average of 24–25°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker clouds could hold at 27°C, while clearer conditions favor 29°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty; final CMA observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,065結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 28°C high in Chengdu on April 17 at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 29°C (28.5%) and 27°C (22.0%), reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts converging near 28°C amid mid-April warming trends. Recent overcast conditions capped April 15–16 highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C, but models now anticipate partly sunny skies with southerly winds boosting solar insolation and temperatures above the monthly average of 24–25°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—thicker clouds could hold at 27°C, while clearer conditions favor 29°C—highlighting short-range forecast uncertainty; final CMA observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions