Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 1?
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 交易量
$66,428 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 交易量
$66,428 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions