Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 交易量
$64,057 交易量
2026-05-07
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 交易量
$64,057 交易量
2026-05-07
16°C or below
$520 交易量
No
17°C
$2,533 交易量
No
18°C
$1,006 交易量
No
19°C
$4,563 交易量
No
20°C
$4,449 交易量
No
21°C
$3,257 交易量
No
22°C
$4,099 交易量
No
23°C
$3,584 交易量
No
24°C
$7,570 交易量
No
25°C
$16,305 交易量
Yes
26°C or higher
$16,172 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$64,057結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,057結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions