Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (34%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering tightly around these values amid a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Morning observations show lows near 8°C under clear skies, with hourly models like Yr.no projecting a 13°C peak and timeanddate.com indicating up to 14°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, but persistent high pressure over northern Europe limits warming below April's climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development or sea breezes from the Bosphorus, introducing uncertainty; monitor Turkish MGM hourly updates and station measurements for resolution as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
13°C 35%
12°C 34%
11°C 16.2%
14°C 9.4%
$25,050 交易量
$25,050 交易量
2026-04-12
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
16%
12°C
34%
13°C
35%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
1%
13°C 35%
12°C 34%
11°C 16.2%
14°C 9.4%
$25,050 交易量
$25,050 交易量
2026-04-12
9°C
$1,135 交易量
<1%
10°C
$13,711 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,938 交易量
16%
12°C
$1,438 交易量
34%
13°C
$1,210 交易量
35%
14°C
$2,106 交易量
9%
15°C
$4,479 交易量
2%
16°C or higher
$3,854 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (34%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering tightly around these values amid a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Morning observations show lows near 8°C under clear skies, with hourly models like Yr.no projecting a 13°C peak and timeanddate.com indicating up to 14°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, but persistent high pressure over northern Europe limits warming below April's climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development or sea breezes from the Bosphorus, introducing uncertainty; monitor Turkish MGM hourly updates and station measurements for resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$25,050結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (34%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering tightly around these values amid a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Morning observations show lows near 8°C under clear skies, with hourly models like Yr.no projecting a 13°C peak and timeanddate.com indicating up to 14°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, but persistent high pressure over northern Europe limits warming below April's climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development or sea breezes from the Bosphorus, introducing uncertainty; monitor Turkish MGM hourly updates and station measurements for resolution as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$25,050結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (39.5%) and 12°C (34%) for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering tightly around these values amid a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. Morning observations show lows near 8°C under clear skies, with hourly models like Yr.no projecting a 13°C peak and timeanddate.com indicating up to 14°C around 3-4 p.m. local time, but persistent high pressure over northern Europe limits warming below April's climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud development or sea breezes from the Bosphorus, introducing uncertainty; monitor Turkish MGM hourly updates and station measurements for resolution as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions