Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a tight clustering of maximum temperatures around 13–14°C for Istanbul on April 13, driving the near-even market-implied odds between these outcomes and underscoring short-term uncertainty in spring weather patterns. This positioning reflects a cool air mass advecting from the north over the Marmara Sea region, with model runs diverging on cloud cover—denser clouds favoring 13°C, partial clearing supporting 14°C—amid light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. Historical early April highs average 14–15°C, but current upper-level troughing suppresses warming. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates today and tomorrow's observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
13°C 37%
14°C 36%
12°C 10%
15°C 7%
$15,751 交易量
$15,751 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
10%
13°C
37%
14°C
36%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
13°C 37%
14°C 36%
12°C 10%
15°C 7%
$15,751 交易量
$15,751 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
10%
13°C
37%
14°C
36%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a tight clustering of maximum temperatures around 13–14°C for Istanbul on April 13, driving the near-even market-implied odds between these outcomes and underscoring short-term uncertainty in spring weather patterns. This positioning reflects a cool air mass advecting from the north over the Marmara Sea region, with model runs diverging on cloud cover—denser clouds favoring 13°C, partial clearing supporting 14°C—amid light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. Historical early April highs average 14–15°C, but current upper-level troughing suppresses warming. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates today and tomorrow's observations will refine trader consensus ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions