AEMET's latest municipal forecast for Madrid projects a 27°C maximum on April 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light northeast winds at 10 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly contested 26–27°C outcomes with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% and 36.0%, respectively. This reflects a warming trend from April 16's observed highs near 20°C and forecast peak of 25°C, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 26.5°C amid minor divergences in boundary layer heating and peak afternoon insolation. April climatology averages 19°C highs at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the resolution station—elevating above-normal risks, though thin high clouds or slight wind shifts could cap at 26°C. New 12z model runs and hourly updates expected midday will refine the 1°C spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
$10,562 交易量
$10,562 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
15%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
$10,562 交易量
$10,562 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
15%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
AEMET's latest municipal forecast for Madrid projects a 27°C maximum on April 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light northeast winds at 10 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly contested 26–27°C outcomes with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% and 36.0%, respectively. This reflects a warming trend from April 16's observed highs near 20°C and forecast peak of 25°C, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 26.5°C amid minor divergences in boundary layer heating and peak afternoon insolation. April climatology averages 19°C highs at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the resolution station—elevating above-normal risks, though thin high clouds or slight wind shifts could cap at 26°C. New 12z model runs and hourly updates expected midday will refine the 1°C spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions