Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 1?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 交易量
$67,276 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 交易量
$67,276 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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