The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 38%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
38%
30°C
24%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
25°C or below
$906 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,444 交易量
1%
27°C
$668 交易量
7%
28°C
$247 交易量
18%
29°C
$269 交易量
38%
30°C
$143 交易量
24%
31°C
$245 交易量
11%
32°C
$655 交易量
4%
33°C
$436 交易量
1%
34°C
$496 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$1,852 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$8,359結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,359結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThe latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 27–29°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus with 29°C leading at 35.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C (25%) and 28°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects stable model guidance from recent updates, including clear skies and light winds favoring daytime heating amid the city's high elevation (2,240 meters), which typically caps April highs around a historical average of 26°C. Persistent dry-season conditions with minimal cloud cover have kept recent days (April 14–16) in the 26–28°C range, slightly above climatological norms without heatwave signals. Final observations from stations like Observatorio de Tacubaya will resolve the market tomorrow, with low uncertainty in short-range forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions