Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 37%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 13%
最新
$14,001 交易量
最新
$14,001 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
16%
12°C
37%
13°C
24%
14°C
13%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 13%
最新
$14,001 交易量
最新
$14,001 交易量
2026-04-17
7°C or below
$1,456 交易量
1%
8°C
$1,604 交易量
<1%
9°C
$631 交易量
2%
10°C
$356 交易量
7%
11°C
$160 交易量
16%
12°C
$173 交易量
37%
13°C
$202 交易量
24%
14°C
$560 交易量
13%
15°C
$2,091 交易量
3%
16°C
$2,790 交易量
3%
17°C or higher
$4,001 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$14,001結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,001結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a highest temperature of 12°C at 35.5% implied probability for Moscow on April 17, reflecting the latest ensemble forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and Rosgidromet projecting daytime highs in the 11–14°C range under persistent mild high-pressure influence. Recent developments include temperatures running 1.5–2.5°C above mid-April climatological norms (average highs ~11.3°C per historical data from the Hydrometcenter), following a spring thunderstorm on April 13 that cleared skies for continued warming. Favorable steering patterns limit cold air intrusions, though cloud cover or afternoon showers could cap peaks at 11–13°C. Official observations from Vnukovo International Airport station will resolve the market; monitor hourly updates from Russian weather services for late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions