Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes of 78-79°F (30% implied probability), 77°F or below (27%), and 80-81°F (25%). This follows a rare April heat surge with observed highs of 82-84°F over April 14-16, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly winds funneling warm air masses northward, well above the climatological average of 62°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing, potential diurnal cumulus cloud development limiting insolation, and sea breeze timing along the urban coastline, amplified by the urban heat island effect in Central Park measurements. New 00Z model runs and morning soundings tonight could refine these probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 17?
77°F or below 28%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 15%
最新
$14,676 交易量
最新
$14,676 交易量
2026-04-17
77°F or below
28%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
77°F or below 28%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 15%
最新
$14,676 交易量
最新
$14,676 交易量
2026-04-17
77°F or below
$2,184 交易量
28%
78-79°F
$775 交易量
28%
80-81°F
$756 交易量
24%
82-83°F
$607 交易量
15%
84-85°F
$511 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$1,139 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$3,806 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$1,055 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$862 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$1,016 交易量
<1%
96°F or higher
$2,106 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes of 78-79°F (30% implied probability), 77°F or below (27%), and 80-81°F (25%). This follows a rare April heat surge with observed highs of 82-84°F over April 14-16, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly winds funneling warm air masses northward, well above the climatological average of 62°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing, potential diurnal cumulus cloud development limiting insolation, and sea breeze timing along the urban coastline, amplified by the urban heat island effect in Central Park measurements. New 00Z model runs and morning soundings tonight could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$14,676結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes of 78-79°F (30% implied probability), 77°F or below (27%), and 80-81°F (25%). This follows a rare April heat surge with observed highs of 82-84°F over April 14-16, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly winds funneling warm air masses northward, well above the climatological average of 62°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing, potential diurnal cumulus cloud development limiting insolation, and sea breeze timing along the urban coastline, amplified by the urban heat island effect in Central Park measurements. New 00Z model runs and morning soundings tonight could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,676結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, reflecting trader sentiment in the closely matched leading outcomes of 78-79°F (30% implied probability), 77°F or below (27%), and 80-81°F (25%). This follows a rare April heat surge with observed highs of 82-84°F over April 14-16, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and southerly winds funneling warm air masses northward, well above the climatological average of 62°F. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon boundary layer mixing, potential diurnal cumulus cloud development limiting insolation, and sea breeze timing along the urban coastline, amplified by the urban heat island effect in Central Park measurements. New 00Z model runs and morning soundings tonight could refine these probabilities further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions