Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 25?
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$167,835 交易量
$167,835 交易量
2026-04-25
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$167,835 交易量
$167,835 交易量
2026-04-25
39°F or below
$2,372 交易量
No
40-41°F
$4,939 交易量
No
42-43°F
$6,477 交易量
No
44-45°F
$12,214 交易量
No
46-47°F
$17,316 交易量
No
48-49°F
$34,300 交易量
No
50-51°F
$40,592 交易量
Yes
52-53°F
$20,894 交易量
No
54-55°F
$9,154 交易量
No
56-57°F
$7,754 交易量
No
58°F or higher
$11,824 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$167,835結束日期
2026-04-25市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$167,835結束日期
2026-04-25市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions