Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama on April 12, reflecting the city's tropical lowland climate at 9°N latitude, where intense solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during the late dry season routinely drive peaks above 32°C. Extended forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather projections of 87–95°F (31–35°C), support this positioning, with recent runs showing light winds under 10 km/h and low precipitation risk allowing boundary-layer heating. No cooling influences like trade wind surges or thunderstorms have materialized in the past 48 hours, maintaining hot conditions observed earlier this week around 33–34°C. National Hurricane Center tropical weather outlooks confirm stable upper-level patterns; watch for 1200 UTC model updates tomorrow for potential refinements ahead of resolution via official Tocumen International Airport (PTY) observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 16%
30°C 1.7%
29°C 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
81%
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 16%
30°C 1.7%
29°C 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
22°C or below
$1,079 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,614 交易量
<1%
24°C
$396 交易量
<1%
25°C
$318 交易量
<1%
26°C
$333 交易量
<1%
27°C
$303 交易量
<1%
28°C
$180 交易量
1%
29°C
$76 交易量
2%
30°C
$88 交易量
2%
31°C
$61 交易量
16%
32°C or higher
$221 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama on April 12, reflecting the city's tropical lowland climate at 9°N latitude, where intense solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during the late dry season routinely drive peaks above 32°C. Extended forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather projections of 87–95°F (31–35°C), support this positioning, with recent runs showing light winds under 10 km/h and low precipitation risk allowing boundary-layer heating. No cooling influences like trade wind surges or thunderstorms have materialized in the past 48 hours, maintaining hot conditions observed earlier this week around 33–34°C. National Hurricane Center tropical weather outlooks confirm stable upper-level patterns; watch for 1200 UTC model updates tomorrow for potential refinements ahead of resolution via official Tocumen International Airport (PTY) observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
交易量
$5,669結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama on April 12, reflecting the city's tropical lowland climate at 9°N latitude, where intense solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during the late dry season routinely drive peaks above 32°C. Extended forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather projections of 87–95°F (31–35°C), support this positioning, with recent runs showing light winds under 10 km/h and low precipitation risk allowing boundary-layer heating. No cooling influences like trade wind surges or thunderstorms have materialized in the past 48 hours, maintaining hot conditions observed earlier this week around 33–34°C. National Hurricane Center tropical weather outlooks confirm stable upper-level patterns; watch for 1200 UTC model updates tomorrow for potential refinements ahead of resolution via official Tocumen International Airport (PTY) observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,669結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 81.5% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama on April 12, reflecting the city's tropical lowland climate at 9°N latitude, where intense solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during the late dry season routinely drive peaks above 32°C. Extended forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside AccuWeather projections of 87–95°F (31–35°C), support this positioning, with recent runs showing light winds under 10 km/h and low precipitation risk allowing boundary-layer heating. No cooling influences like trade wind surges or thunderstorms have materialized in the past 48 hours, maintaining hot conditions observed earlier this week around 33–34°C. National Hurricane Center tropical weather outlooks confirm stable upper-level patterns; watch for 1200 UTC model updates tomorrow for potential refinements ahead of resolution via official Tocumen International Airport (PTY) observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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