Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City, Panama on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daily highs of 87–95°F (31–35°C) amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over Central America. This setup, typical at the dry season's end, features clear skies, low humidity, and reduced sea breeze influence, allowing intense solar heating on surface temperatures—averaging 32°C historically but often spiking above 33°C. Recent observations through April 10 show highs near 32°C with minimal rain, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus for continued heat. Updated guidance expected tomorrow could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
33°C or higher 70%
32°C 19%
31°C 9%
29°C 1.3%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
70%
33°C or higher 70%
32°C 19%
31°C 9%
29°C 1.3%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City, Panama on April 13, driven by the latest extended forecasts from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting daily highs of 87–95°F (31–35°C) amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over Central America. This setup, typical at the dry season's end, features clear skies, low humidity, and reduced sea breeze influence, allowing intense solar heating on surface temperatures—averaging 32°C historically but often spiking above 33°C. Recent observations through April 10 show highs near 32°C with minimal rain, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus for continued heat. Updated guidance expected tomorrow could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions