The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects Taipei's daytime high on April 17 between 23-30°C under partly clear skies with a 20% chance of isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-29°C as the leading outcomes amid model uncertainty on peak diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include intermittent cloud cover potentially capping temperatures below 30°C, southerly sea breezes moderating humidity and warmth, and Taipei's urban heat island effect boosting station readings like at Songshan Airport. This follows a warm air mass yielding above-normal April temperatures earlier in the week (up to 33°C), with historical spring analogs showing 1-2°C daily variability. Watch for overnight forecast refinements from CWA, as afternoon convection could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日臺北氣溫最高?
4月17日臺北氣溫最高?
28°C 23%
29°C 22%
30°C 16%
31°C 11%
$18,119 交易量
$18,119 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
23%
29°C
22%
30°C
16%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 23%
29°C 22%
30°C 16%
31°C 11%
$18,119 交易量
$18,119 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
23%
29°C
22%
30°C
16%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects Taipei's daytime high on April 17 between 23-30°C under partly clear skies with a 20% chance of isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-29°C as the leading outcomes amid model uncertainty on peak diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include intermittent cloud cover potentially capping temperatures below 30°C, southerly sea breezes moderating humidity and warmth, and Taipei's urban heat island effect boosting station readings like at Songshan Airport. This follows a warm air mass yielding above-normal April temperatures earlier in the week (up to 33°C), with historical spring analogs showing 1-2°C daily variability. Watch for overnight forecast refinements from CWA, as afternoon convection could tip the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions