MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 17 high at 18°C under mostly fine skies with northwesterlies strengthening ahead of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (39.5%) as the leading outcome over 19°C (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread, with NIWA ensembles hinting at 21°C potential from robust warm air advection, tempered by MetService's conservative outlook accounting for possible early cloud and shower cooling. Key differentiators include northerly wind strength—enhancing temperatures via downslope effects—and peak-hour timing before showers, amid April climatology averaging 17°C highs. Hourly updates overnight and airport observations will sharpen resolution as inherent short-range forecast uncertainty plays out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
17°C 16%
20°C 4.7%
$28,420 交易量
$28,420 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
16%
18°C
40%
19°C
35%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 35%
17°C 16%
20°C 4.7%
$28,420 交易量
$28,420 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
16%
18°C
40%
19°C
35%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's April 17 high at 18°C under mostly fine skies with northwesterlies strengthening ahead of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (39.5%) as the leading outcome over 19°C (34.5%). This tight race reflects model spread, with NIWA ensembles hinting at 21°C potential from robust warm air advection, tempered by MetService's conservative outlook accounting for possible early cloud and shower cooling. Key differentiators include northerly wind strength—enhancing temperatures via downslope effects—and peak-hour timing before showers, amid April climatology averaging 17°C highs. Hourly updates overnight and airport observations will sharpen resolution as inherent short-range forecast uncertainty plays out.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions