Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergence in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which span 20–27°C due to uncertainty in an approaching frontal system's timing and cloud cover persistence. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather indicate partly cloudy skies with highs near 23–25°C following southerly winds that cooled the region after April 14's ~25°C peak amid a warmer-than-normal April anomaly (+2°C above 18.5°C baseline). Key differentiators include potential for lingering high pressure boosting insolation for 26°C versus increased overcast capping at 24°C; new SMN updates and model runs expected today could tip the balance before resolution at Ministro Pistarini International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 30%
25°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 13%
$10,975 交易量
$10,975 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
13%
24°C
30%
25°C
23%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 30%
25°C 23%
26°C 22%
23°C 13%
$10,975 交易量
$10,975 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
13%
24°C
30%
25°C
23%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergence in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which span 20–27°C due to uncertainty in an approaching frontal system's timing and cloud cover persistence. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather indicate partly cloudy skies with highs near 23–25°C following southerly winds that cooled the region after April 14's ~25°C peak amid a warmer-than-normal April anomaly (+2°C above 18.5°C baseline). Key differentiators include potential for lingering high pressure boosting insolation for 26°C versus increased overcast capping at 24°C; new SMN updates and model runs expected today could tip the balance before resolution at Ministro Pistarini International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题