Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C as the leading outcome at 46% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature today, driven by the latest global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a midday peak near 91°F under clear skies and strong solar insolation typical of the late dry season. April climatology in this tropical lowland location averages daily highs of 32–33°C, with high pressure aloft promoting subsidence that inhibits cloud formation and enhances heating, while sea breezes provide modest moderation. Recent 24-hour model runs have shifted volume toward 33–34°C by refining boundary layer profiles, reducing odds for cooler 32°C amid low shower risk. Hourly observations from local stations through afternoon will pinpoint the exact maximum, acknowledging forecast uncertainty from microscale variations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日巴拿马城气温最高?
4月17日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 44%
34°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 6%
$15,714 交易量
$15,714 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
44%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 6%
$15,714 交易量
$15,714 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
44%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 33°C as the leading outcome at 46% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature today, driven by the latest global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a midday peak near 91°F under clear skies and strong solar insolation typical of the late dry season. April climatology in this tropical lowland location averages daily highs of 32–33°C, with high pressure aloft promoting subsidence that inhibits cloud formation and enhances heating, while sea breezes provide modest moderation. Recent 24-hour model runs have shifted volume toward 33–34°C by refining boundary layer profiles, reducing odds for cooler 32°C amid low shower risk. Hourly observations from local stations through afternoon will pinpoint the exact maximum, acknowledging forecast uncertainty from microscale variations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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