Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities peaking at 31°C (24.5%), 33°C (22.5%), and 32°C (21.0%), driven by the Malaysian Meteorological Department's latest forecast of isolated thunderstorms and a projected maximum of 34°C. Convective activity from afternoon showers—common in the city's equatorial climate—often caps peaks via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, tempering hotter model runs like those from BBC Weather (33°C). Historical April averages hover around 32°C, with recent ensembles diverging amid variable cloud cover; if storms delay until evening, 34°C becomes viable, but morning updates from MET Malaysia could sharpen guidance before official station resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 17?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 17?
31°C 35%
33°C 15%
32°C 13%
30°C 13%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
15%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
31°C 35%
33°C 15%
32°C 13%
30°C 13%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
15%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Kuala Lumpur's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities peaking at 31°C (24.5%), 33°C (22.5%), and 32°C (21.0%), driven by the Malaysian Meteorological Department's latest forecast of isolated thunderstorms and a projected maximum of 34°C. Convective activity from afternoon showers—common in the city's equatorial climate—often caps peaks via reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, tempering hotter model runs like those from BBC Weather (33°C). Historical April averages hover around 32°C, with recent ensembles diverging amid variable cloud cover; if storms delay until evening, 34°C becomes viable, but morning updates from MET Malaysia could sharpen guidance before official station resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题