Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France's high-resolution Arôme and Arpège models, alongside ECMWF and GFS guidance, place Paris highs around 18°C today at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, the market's resolution source, under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and efficient solar heating from morning temperatures near 14-15°C. Trader consensus reflects this at 44% implied probability for 18°C versus 35.5% for 19°C, with close positioning driven by model spread—some runs capping below 17°C due to potential afternoon cumulus development or lighter southerly winds—amid April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak insolation and cloud onset; watch METAR updates and Météo-France hourly bulletins this afternoon for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日巴黎气温最高？
4月15日巴黎气温最高？
18°C 45%
19°C 32%
17°C 18.1%
20°C 7%
$56,914 交易量
$56,914 交易量
2026-04-15
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
18%
18°C
45%
19°C
32%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
18°C 45%
19°C 32%
17°C 18.1%
20°C 7%
$56,914 交易量
$56,914 交易量
2026-04-15
14°C或以下
$7,608 交易量
<1%
15°C
$6,016 交易量
1%
16°C
$11,331 交易量
3%
17°C
$9,129 交易量
18%
18°C
$3,796 交易量
45%
19°C
$3,425 交易量
32%
20°C
$3,989 交易量
7%
21°C
$5,690 交易量
1%
22°C
$3,266 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,253 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$1,437 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France's high-resolution Arôme and Arpège models, alongside ECMWF and GFS guidance, place Paris highs around 18°C today at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, the market's resolution source, under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and efficient solar heating from morning temperatures near 14-15°C. Trader consensus reflects this at 44% implied probability for 18°C versus 35.5% for 19°C, with close positioning driven by model spread—some runs capping below 17°C due to potential afternoon cumulus development or lighter southerly winds—amid April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak insolation and cloud onset; watch METAR updates and Météo-France hourly bulletins this afternoon for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$56,914结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France's high-resolution Arôme and Arpège models, alongside ECMWF and GFS guidance, place Paris highs around 18°C today at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, the market's resolution source, under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and efficient solar heating from morning temperatures near 14-15°C. Trader consensus reflects this at 44% implied probability for 18°C versus 35.5% for 19°C, with close positioning driven by model spread—some runs capping below 17°C due to potential afternoon cumulus development or lighter southerly winds—amid April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak insolation and cloud onset; watch METAR updates and Météo-France hourly bulletins this afternoon for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$56,914结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from Météo-France's high-resolution Arôme and Arpège models, alongside ECMWF and GFS guidance, place Paris highs around 18°C today at Charles de Gaulle Airport station, the market's resolution source, under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and efficient solar heating from morning temperatures near 14-15°C. Trader consensus reflects this at 44% implied probability for 18°C versus 35.5% for 19°C, with close positioning driven by model spread—some runs capping below 17°C due to potential afternoon cumulus development or lighter southerly winds—amid April climatological averages of 15-16°C. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak insolation and cloud onset; watch METAR updates and Météo-France hourly bulletins this afternoon for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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