Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Munich's highest temperature today, with Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 14-16°C amid a mild southerly airflow bringing warmer air after yesterday's cooler 11°C high with showers. Partial clearing skies could enable peak heating near 15°C during afternoon hours, but persistent cloud cover or delayed sunshine risks capping it at 14°C, per ensemble spreads showing 2°C variability. April climatology supports averages around 13-14°C, with current southerly winds and low-level instability differentiating outcomes; real-time hourly observations from Munich Airport will sharpen resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?
15°C 32%
14°C 28%
16°C or higher 27%
13°C 10.9%
$47,547 交易量
$47,547 交易量
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
11%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C or higher
27%
15°C 32%
14°C 28%
16°C or higher 27%
13°C 10.9%
$47,547 交易量
$47,547 交易量
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
11%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Munich's highest temperature today, with Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 14-16°C amid a mild southerly airflow bringing warmer air after yesterday's cooler 11°C high with showers. Partial clearing skies could enable peak heating near 15°C during afternoon hours, but persistent cloud cover or delayed sunshine risks capping it at 14°C, per ensemble spreads showing 2°C variability. April climatology supports averages around 13-14°C, with current southerly winds and low-level instability differentiating outcomes; real-time hourly observations from Munich Airport will sharpen resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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