Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF ensembles and GFS runs, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 15 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 12°C (33.5%) over 13°C (25.5%) and 11°C (25.0%). This consensus stems from persistent overcast conditions and scattered light showers—evident in morning observations near 9°C with northwest winds at 5 m/s—limiting solar insolation and boundary layer warming, per Russian Hydrometcenter guidance. Differentiating factors include potential brief cloud breaks boosting 13°C prospects versus thicker cloud decks capping at 11°C, amid climatological mid-April averages of 10–12°C. Hourly updates through afternoon will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 15?
12°C 34%
11°C 25%
13°C 22%
14°C 7.0%
最新
$35,436 交易量
最新
$35,436 交易量
2026-04-15
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
25%
12°C
34%
13°C
22%
14°C
7%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 34%
11°C 25%
13°C 22%
14°C 7.0%
最新
$35,436 交易量
最新
$35,436 交易量
2026-04-15
9°C
$7,627 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,059 交易量
3%
11°C
$1,696 交易量
25%
12°C
$912 交易量
34%
13°C
$1,082 交易量
22%
14°C
$4,842 交易量
7%
15°C
$3,749 交易量
3%
16°C
$3,944 交易量
1%
17°C
$2,725 交易量
1%
18°C or higher
$1,544 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF ensembles and GFS runs, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 15 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 12°C (33.5%) over 13°C (25.5%) and 11°C (25.0%). This consensus stems from persistent overcast conditions and scattered light showers—evident in morning observations near 9°C with northwest winds at 5 m/s—limiting solar insolation and boundary layer warming, per Russian Hydrometcenter guidance. Differentiating factors include potential brief cloud breaks boosting 13°C prospects versus thicker cloud decks capping at 11°C, amid climatological mid-April averages of 10–12°C. Hourly updates through afternoon will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$35,436结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF ensembles and GFS runs, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 15 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 12°C (33.5%) over 13°C (25.5%) and 11°C (25.0%). This consensus stems from persistent overcast conditions and scattered light showers—evident in morning observations near 9°C with northwest winds at 5 m/s—limiting solar insolation and boundary layer warming, per Russian Hydrometcenter guidance. Differentiating factors include potential brief cloud breaks boosting 13°C prospects versus thicker cloud decks capping at 11°C, amid climatological mid-April averages of 10–12°C. Hourly updates through afternoon will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,436结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF ensembles and GFS runs, project Moscow's highest temperature on April 15 clustering tightly around 11–13°C, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 12°C (33.5%) over 13°C (25.5%) and 11°C (25.0%). This consensus stems from persistent overcast conditions and scattered light showers—evident in morning observations near 9°C with northwest winds at 5 m/s—limiting solar insolation and boundary layer warming, per Russian Hydrometcenter guidance. Differentiating factors include potential brief cloud breaks boosting 13°C prospects versus thicker cloud decks capping at 11°C, amid climatological mid-April averages of 10–12°C. Hourly updates through afternoon will refine the outlook as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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