Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply highest temperatures near 13°C in Moscow on April 16, aligning with trader consensus where 13°C holds 34.5% implied probability and outcomes from 10-15°C capture over 90% volume, reflecting post-cold snap recovery tempered by uncertainty. A recent cold snap through early April, with highs dipping to 5-8°C around April 9 per Roshydromet observations, has given way to modest warming via weak southerly flows, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds limit insolation and peak heating. Key variables include afternoon clearing skies for potential +1-2°C boosts, frontal timing, and urban heat effects; historical mid-April averages hover around 12°C. New model runs expected overnight could shift odds as resolution nears via official Moscow station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 16?
13°C 35%
14°C 18%
11°C 16.8%
12°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
8°C or below
3%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
17%
12°C
15%
13°C
30%
14°C
23%
15°C
11%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 35%
14°C 18%
11°C 16.8%
12°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
8°C or below
$589 交易量
3%
9°C
$47 交易量
2%
10°C
$65 交易量
12%
11°C
$76 交易量
17%
12°C
$61 交易量
15%
13°C
$49 交易量
30%
14°C
$90 交易量
23%
15°C
$144 交易量
11%
16°C
$180 交易量
6%
17°C
$140 交易量
1%
18°C or higher
$231 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply highest temperatures near 13°C in Moscow on April 16, aligning with trader consensus where 13°C holds 34.5% implied probability and outcomes from 10-15°C capture over 90% volume, reflecting post-cold snap recovery tempered by uncertainty. A recent cold snap through early April, with highs dipping to 5-8°C around April 9 per Roshydromet observations, has given way to modest warming via weak southerly flows, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds limit insolation and peak heating. Key variables include afternoon clearing skies for potential +1-2°C boosts, frontal timing, and urban heat effects; historical mid-April averages hover around 12°C. New model runs expected overnight could shift odds as resolution nears via official Moscow station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
交易量
$1,672结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply highest temperatures near 13°C in Moscow on April 16, aligning with trader consensus where 13°C holds 34.5% implied probability and outcomes from 10-15°C capture over 90% volume, reflecting post-cold snap recovery tempered by uncertainty. A recent cold snap through early April, with highs dipping to 5-8°C around April 9 per Roshydromet observations, has given way to modest warming via weak southerly flows, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds limit insolation and peak heating. Key variables include afternoon clearing skies for potential +1-2°C boosts, frontal timing, and urban heat effects; historical mid-April averages hover around 12°C. New model runs expected overnight could shift odds as resolution nears via official Moscow station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,672结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts imply highest temperatures near 13°C in Moscow on April 16, aligning with trader consensus where 13°C holds 34.5% implied probability and outcomes from 10-15°C capture over 90% volume, reflecting post-cold snap recovery tempered by uncertainty. A recent cold snap through early April, with highs dipping to 5-8°C around April 9 per Roshydromet observations, has given way to modest warming via weak southerly flows, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds limit insolation and peak heating. Key variables include afternoon clearing skies for potential +1-2°C boosts, frontal timing, and urban heat effects; historical mid-April averages hover around 12°C. New model runs expected overnight could shift odds as resolution nears via official Moscow station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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