Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (36.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (33.5%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance pinning Central Park's high near 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast. This ridge promotes subsidence for ample sunshine and southwesterly winds advecting a warm, dry airmass—dew points in the 30s°F enhancing daytime heating well above the 61°F climatological average. Model runs like GFS show peaks around 86-87°F inland, but coastal ocean moderation introduces uncertainty, with potential afternoon showers or variable winds tipping the balance. The April 15 record of 87°F looms as a threshold; final observations from Central Park will resolve as temperatures peak this afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 10%
最新
$76,068 交易量
最新
$76,068 交易量
2026-04-15
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 10%
最新
$76,068 交易量
最新
$76,068 交易量
2026-04-15
79°F or below
$14,296 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$9,427 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$6,318 交易量
10%
84-85°F
$5,214 交易量
31%
86-87°F
$5,304 交易量
39%
88-89°F
$7,978 交易量
18%
90-91°F
$6,497 交易量
8%
92-93°F
$4,417 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$2,839 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$4,440 交易量
<1%
98°F or higher
$9,405 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (36.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (33.5%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance pinning Central Park's high near 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast. This ridge promotes subsidence for ample sunshine and southwesterly winds advecting a warm, dry airmass—dew points in the 30s°F enhancing daytime heating well above the 61°F climatological average. Model runs like GFS show peaks around 86-87°F inland, but coastal ocean moderation introduces uncertainty, with potential afternoon showers or variable winds tipping the balance. The April 15 record of 87°F looms as a threshold; final observations from Central Park will resolve as temperatures peak this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$76,068结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (36.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (33.5%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance pinning Central Park's high near 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast. This ridge promotes subsidence for ample sunshine and southwesterly winds advecting a warm, dry airmass—dew points in the 30s°F enhancing daytime heating well above the 61°F climatological average. Model runs like GFS show peaks around 86-87°F inland, but coastal ocean moderation introduces uncertainty, with potential afternoon showers or variable winds tipping the balance. The April 15 record of 87°F looms as a threshold; final observations from Central Park will resolve as temperatures peak this afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$76,068结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F (36.5% implied probability) and 84-85°F (33.5%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance pinning Central Park's high near 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast. This ridge promotes subsidence for ample sunshine and southwesterly winds advecting a warm, dry airmass—dew points in the 30s°F enhancing daytime heating well above the 61°F climatological average. Model runs like GFS show peaks around 86-87°F inland, but coastal ocean moderation introduces uncertainty, with potential afternoon showers or variable winds tipping the balance. The April 15 record of 87°F looms as a threshold; final observations from Central Park will resolve as temperatures peak this afternoon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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