Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 23°C (37% implied probability) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport in Buenos Aires, closely followed by 22°C (26%) and 24°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting daytime highs of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies and isolated morning showers. This moderation follows warmer conditions earlier in the week, including 25°C on April 13, as a passing frontal system increases cloud cover, limiting solar insolation and peak heating in this autumnal period when historical April averages hover around 22°C. Current monthly temperature anomaly stands at +1°C above normal, but model ensembles like GFS indicate limited upside potential beyond 24°C. Hourly observations from SMN and airport sensors today will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
23°C 38%
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
21°C 15.0%
$48,731 交易量
$48,731 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
15%
22°C
26%
23°C
38%
24°C
23%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 38%
22°C 26%
24°C 23%
21°C 15.0%
$48,731 交易量
$48,731 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
15%
22°C
26%
23°C
38%
24°C
23%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 23°C (37% implied probability) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport in Buenos Aires, closely followed by 22°C (26%) and 24°C (22.5%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting daytime highs of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies and isolated morning showers. This moderation follows warmer conditions earlier in the week, including 25°C on April 13, as a passing frontal system increases cloud cover, limiting solar insolation and peak heating in this autumnal period when historical April averages hover around 22°C. Current monthly temperature anomaly stands at +1°C above normal, but model ensembles like GFS indicate limited upside potential beyond 24°C. Hourly observations from SMN and airport sensors today will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题