Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 73-74°F in Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 74°F under a warm mid-level ridge pattern, with southerly winds advecting mild air masses well above the April 15 climatological normal of 59°F. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF model runs project potential peaks of 78-82°F, but scattered showers and severe thunderstorms—currently active per NWS Chicago alerts, featuring damaging winds and hail—introduce cloud cover and precipitation risks that could cap peak heating. Current O'Hare observations already reaching 79°F amid overcast conditions highlight the uncertainty, with resolution hinging on afternoon convective evolution and official daily max reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 15?
74°F or higher 45%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 4.5%
最新
$61,718 交易量
最新
$61,718 交易量
2026-04-15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
35%
74°F or higher
45%
74°F or higher 45%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 4.5%
最新
$61,718 交易量
最新
$61,718 交易量
2026-04-15
55°F or below
$13,727 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,765 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$12,928 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,015 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$2,112 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$3,652 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$4,701 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$5,343 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$4,495 交易量
16%
72-73°F
$3,711 交易量
35%
74°F or higher
$8,268 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 73-74°F in Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 74°F under a warm mid-level ridge pattern, with southerly winds advecting mild air masses well above the April 15 climatological normal of 59°F. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF model runs project potential peaks of 78-82°F, but scattered showers and severe thunderstorms—currently active per NWS Chicago alerts, featuring damaging winds and hail—introduce cloud cover and precipitation risks that could cap peak heating. Current O'Hare observations already reaching 79°F amid overcast conditions highlight the uncertainty, with resolution hinging on afternoon convective evolution and official daily max reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$61,718结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 73-74°F in Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 74°F under a warm mid-level ridge pattern, with southerly winds advecting mild air masses well above the April 15 climatological normal of 59°F. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF model runs project potential peaks of 78-82°F, but scattered showers and severe thunderstorms—currently active per NWS Chicago alerts, featuring damaging winds and hail—introduce cloud cover and precipitation risks that could cap peak heating. Current O'Hare observations already reaching 79°F amid overcast conditions highlight the uncertainty, with resolution hinging on afternoon convective evolution and official daily max reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$61,718结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 73-74°F in Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service guidance forecasting highs near 74°F under a warm mid-level ridge pattern, with southerly winds advecting mild air masses well above the April 15 climatological normal of 59°F. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF model runs project potential peaks of 78-82°F, but scattered showers and severe thunderstorms—currently active per NWS Chicago alerts, featuring damaging winds and hail—introduce cloud cover and precipitation risks that could cap peak heating. Current O'Hare observations already reaching 79°F amid overcast conditions highlight the uncertainty, with resolution hinging on afternoon convective evolution and official daily max reports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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