Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high temperature range of 24–29°C on April 18 under light winds, sunny intervals, and isolated showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability for 28°C and 37% for 29°C as the razor-thin leaders. This tight split reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing: prolonged bright periods amid southerly airflow could enable convective heating to 29°C, while early afternoon showers might cap peaks at 28°C via increased relative humidity and reduced insolation. Recent days logged above-normal highs—29°C on April 14 and likely 28°C on April 17—extending a warm spell beyond April's climatological average of 25–26°C. Watch HKO's hourly updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
29°C 38%
28°C 37%
27°C 12%
30°C 6%
最新
$38,417 交易量
最新
$38,417 交易量
2026-04-18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
12%
28°C
37%
29°C
38%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
29°C 38%
28°C 37%
27°C 12%
30°C 6%
最新
$38,417 交易量
最新
$38,417 交易量
2026-04-18
21°C or below
$2,842 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,967 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,748 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,176 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,650 交易量
1%
26°C
$3,272 交易量
1%
27°C
$4,330 交易量
12%
28°C
$1,640 交易量
37%
29°C
$2,023 交易量
38%
30°C
$3,217 交易量
6%
31°C or higher
$3,563 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high temperature range of 24–29°C on April 18 under light winds, sunny intervals, and isolated showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability for 28°C and 37% for 29°C as the razor-thin leaders. This tight split reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing: prolonged bright periods amid southerly airflow could enable convective heating to 29°C, while early afternoon showers might cap peaks at 28°C via increased relative humidity and reduced insolation. Recent days logged above-normal highs—29°C on April 14 and likely 28°C on April 17—extending a warm spell beyond April's climatological average of 25–26°C. Watch HKO's hourly updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$38,417结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high temperature range of 24–29°C on April 18 under light winds, sunny intervals, and isolated showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability for 28°C and 37% for 29°C as the razor-thin leaders. This tight split reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing: prolonged bright periods amid southerly airflow could enable convective heating to 29°C, while early afternoon showers might cap peaks at 28°C via increased relative humidity and reduced insolation. Recent days logged above-normal highs—29°C on April 14 and likely 28°C on April 17—extending a warm spell beyond April's climatological average of 25–26°C. Watch HKO's hourly updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,417结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high temperature range of 24–29°C on April 18 under light winds, sunny intervals, and isolated showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 38% implied probability for 28°C and 37% for 29°C as the razor-thin leaders. This tight split reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover extent and shower timing: prolonged bright periods amid southerly airflow could enable convective heating to 29°C, while early afternoon showers might cap peaks at 28°C via increased relative humidity and reduced insolation. Recent days logged above-normal highs—29°C on April 14 and likely 28°C on April 17—extending a warm spell beyond April's climatological average of 25–26°C. Watch HKO's hourly updates today for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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