Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月10日拉各斯气温最高？
4月10日拉各斯气温最高？
35°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$5,875 交易量
$5,875 交易量
2026-04-10
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31℃
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
35°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$5,875 交易量
$5,875 交易量
2026-04-10
27°C或以下
$279 交易量
否
28°C
$528 交易量
否
29°C
$235 交易量
否
30°C
$518 交易量
否
31℃
$320 交易量
否
32°C
$259 交易量
否
33°C
$341 交易量
否
34°C
$138 交易量
否
35°C
$1,175 交易量
是
36°C
$1,484 交易量
否
37°C或更高
$599 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$5,875结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,875结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题