Official observations from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 10, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on this outcome amid heavy cloud cover and intermittent showers from an advancing cold front. This marks a sharp drop from 27°C on April 8 and 26°C on April 9, as southerly winds and moisture influx suppressed daytime solar heating despite pre-event INMET forecasts near 24-26°C. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with Wunderground's historical data, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from equipment glitches or METAR discrepancies, though model ensembles and historical April baselines (averaging 25-27°C highs) support the subdued reading. Final archive confirmation expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 10?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 10?
21°C 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$92,871 交易量
$92,871 交易量
2026-04-10
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.9%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$92,871 交易量
$92,871 交易量
2026-04-10
21°C
$22,320 交易量
100%
22°C
$7,185 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,751 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,062 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,916 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,303 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,077 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,629 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$8,943 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 10, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on this outcome amid heavy cloud cover and intermittent showers from an advancing cold front. This marks a sharp drop from 27°C on April 8 and 26°C on April 9, as southerly winds and moisture influx suppressed daytime solar heating despite pre-event INMET forecasts near 24-26°C. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with Wunderground's historical data, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from equipment glitches or METAR discrepancies, though model ensembles and historical April baselines (averaging 25-27°C highs) support the subdued reading. Final archive confirmation expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$92,871结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 10, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on this outcome amid heavy cloud cover and intermittent showers from an advancing cold front. This marks a sharp drop from 27°C on April 8 and 26°C on April 9, as southerly winds and moisture influx suppressed daytime solar heating despite pre-event INMET forecasts near 24-26°C. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with Wunderground's historical data, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from equipment glitches or METAR discrepancies, though model ensembles and historical April baselines (averaging 25-27°C highs) support the subdued reading. Final archive confirmation expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$92,871结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETOfficial observations from the automated weather station at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 10, 2026, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability on this outcome amid heavy cloud cover and intermittent showers from an advancing cold front. This marks a sharp drop from 27°C on April 8 and 26°C on April 9, as southerly winds and moisture influx suppressed daytime solar heating despite pre-event INMET forecasts near 24-26°C. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with Wunderground's historical data, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from equipment glitches or METAR discrepancies, though model ensembles and historical April baselines (averaging 25-27°C highs) support the subdued reading. Final archive confirmation expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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