Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Precipitation in NYC in April?
Precipitation in NYC in April?
少于2英寸 58.7%
2-3英寸 21%
4-5英寸 5.8%
>6英寸 5.8%
$46,482 交易量
$46,482 交易量
2026-04-30
少于2英寸
59%
2-3英寸
21%
3-4英寸
3%
4-5英寸
6%
5-6英寸
2%
>6英寸
6%
少于2英寸 58.7%
2-3英寸 21%
4-5英寸 5.8%
>6英寸 5.8%
$46,482 交易量
$46,482 交易量
2026-04-30
少于2英寸
$10,003 交易量
59%
2-3英寸
$12,172 交易量
21%
3-4英寸
$9,357 交易量
3%
4-5英寸
$12,853 交易量
6%
5-6英寸
$1,052 交易量
2%
>6英寸
$1,046 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
交易量
$46,482结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$46,482结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58.8% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service data showing just 0.35 inches accumulated at Central Park through April 14—less than 10% of the 4.09-inch monthly normal. Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast has suppressed frontal passages and shower activity since early April, with daily totals mostly trace or zero after minor events on April 1-5. Neutral ENSO conditions and NOAA seasonal outlooks point to below-average rainfall potential for the remainder of the month, though model ensembles indicate slight uncertainty from possible late-April cold fronts. Watch NWS 7-day forecasts for shifts in precipitation guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题