Skip to main content
Market icon

四月份西雅图的降水量?

Market icon

四月份西雅图的降水量?

4月 30

4月 30

3-3.5英寸 43%

3.5-4英寸 16.5%

<2.5英寸 15%

2.5-3英寸 13%

Polymarket

$44,121 交易量

3-3.5英寸 43%

3.5-4英寸 16.5%

<2.5英寸 15%

2.5-3英寸 13%

Polymarket

$44,121 交易量

<2.5英寸

$12,451 交易量

15%

2.5-3英寸

$8,438 交易量

13%

3-3.5英寸

$18,788 交易量

42%

3.5-4英寸

$1,171 交易量

16%

4-4.5英寸

$1,174 交易量

2%

4.5-5英寸

$1,129 交易量

2%

>5英寸

$970 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 14 at the Seattle-Tacoma Airport (CLISEA) station, 1.86 inches of precipitation has accumulated—slightly above the mid-month normal of 1.64 inches—driven by 1.06 inches of heavy rain on April 14 that erased an earlier drier start (0.80 inches through April 13). This positions the 3-3.5 inch outcome as trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability, aligning with the historical April normal of 3.18 inches per NOAA records, while lower totals like <2.5 inches (18%) reflect lingering uncertainty from NOAA's spring outlook favoring 40-50% below-normal precipitation amid ridging and ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecast models show modest additional rainfall potential through April 30, with daily National Weather Service updates critical for late-month shifts in shower activity or dry spells.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,121
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 14 at the Seattle-Tacoma Airport (CLISEA) station, 1.86 inches of precipitation has accumulated—slightly above the mid-month normal of 1.64 inches—driven by 1.06 inches of heavy rain on April 14 that erased an earlier drier start (0.80 inches through April 13). This positions the 3-3.5 inch outcome as trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability, aligning with the historical April normal of 3.18 inches per NOAA records, while lower totals like <2.5 inches (18%) reflect lingering uncertainty from NOAA's spring outlook favoring 40-50% below-normal precipitation amid ridging and ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecast models show modest additional rainfall potential through April 30, with daily National Weather Service updates critical for late-month shifts in shower activity or dry spells.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,121
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"四月份西雅图的降水量?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"3-3.5英寸",概率为 42%,其次是"3.5-4英寸",概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"四月份西雅图的降水量?"已产生 $44.1K 的总交易量(自Mar 24, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"四月份西雅图的降水量?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"四月份西雅图的降水量?"的当前领先者是"3-3.5英寸",概率为 42%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"3.5-4英寸",概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"四月份西雅图的降水量?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。