As of April 14 at the Seattle-Tacoma Airport (CLISEA) station, 1.86 inches of precipitation has accumulated—slightly above the mid-month normal of 1.64 inches—driven by 1.06 inches of heavy rain on April 14 that erased an earlier drier start (0.80 inches through April 13). This positions the 3-3.5 inch outcome as trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability, aligning with the historical April normal of 3.18 inches per NOAA records, while lower totals like <2.5 inches (18%) reflect lingering uncertainty from NOAA's spring outlook favoring 40-50% below-normal precipitation amid ridging and ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecast models show modest additional rainfall potential through April 30, with daily National Weather Service updates critical for late-month shifts in shower activity or dry spells.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于四月份西雅图的降水量?
四月份西雅图的降水量?
3-3.5英寸 43%
3.5-4英寸 16.5%
<2.5英寸 15%
2.5-3英寸 13%
$44,121 交易量
$44,121 交易量
<2.5英寸
15%
2.5-3英寸
13%
3-3.5英寸
42%
3.5-4英寸
16%
4-4.5英寸
2%
4.5-5英寸
2%
>5英寸
3%
3-3.5英寸 43%
3.5-4英寸 16.5%
<2.5英寸 15%
2.5-3英寸 13%
$44,121 交易量
$44,121 交易量
<2.5英寸
15%
2.5-3英寸
13%
3-3.5英寸
42%
3.5-4英寸
16%
4-4.5英寸
2%
4.5-5英寸
2%
>5英寸
3%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 14 at the Seattle-Tacoma Airport (CLISEA) station, 1.86 inches of precipitation has accumulated—slightly above the mid-month normal of 1.64 inches—driven by 1.06 inches of heavy rain on April 14 that erased an earlier drier start (0.80 inches through April 13). This positions the 3-3.5 inch outcome as trader consensus at 42.5% implied probability, aligning with the historical April normal of 3.18 inches per NOAA records, while lower totals like <2.5 inches (18%) reflect lingering uncertainty from NOAA's spring outlook favoring 40-50% below-normal precipitation amid ridging and ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecast models show modest additional rainfall potential through April 30, with daily National Weather Service updates critical for late-month shifts in shower activity or dry spells.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题