National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SeaTac, KSEA) point to a high near 49°F today amid persistent rain and south winds gusting over 25 mph, driving the tight market split between 48-49°F (40.5% implied probability) and 46-47°F (39.5%). Morning observations confirm 46°F with 85% relative humidity and low visibility in mist, as southerly flow advects moist marine air from Puget Sound, strengthening the low-level stratus deck and limiting diurnal heating under a capped inversion layer. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show minor divergence on afternoon cloud thinning, with historical April mid-50s norms suppressed by this cool, wet pattern. Hourly METAR updates and 18Z forecasts will refine trader consensus as the resolution window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日西雅图气温最高?
4月15日西雅图气温最高?
48-49°F 41%
46-47°F 40%
50-51°F 11%
44-45°F 4.5%
$34,288 交易量
$34,288 交易量
43°F或以下
2%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
40%
48-49°F
41%
50-51°F
11%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62华氏度或更高
<1%
48-49°F 41%
46-47°F 40%
50-51°F 11%
44-45°F 4.5%
$34,288 交易量
$34,288 交易量
43°F或以下
2%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
40%
48-49°F
41%
50-51°F
11%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (SeaTac, KSEA) point to a high near 49°F today amid persistent rain and south winds gusting over 25 mph, driving the tight market split between 48-49°F (40.5% implied probability) and 46-47°F (39.5%). Morning observations confirm 46°F with 85% relative humidity and low visibility in mist, as southerly flow advects moist marine air from Puget Sound, strengthening the low-level stratus deck and limiting diurnal heating under a capped inversion layer. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show minor divergence on afternoon cloud thinning, with historical April mid-50s norms suppressed by this cool, wet pattern. Hourly METAR updates and 18Z forecasts will refine trader consensus as the resolution window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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