Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) of 54-57°F on April 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing highs clustered in this range amid lingering post-frontal clouds and onshore flow. Recent 24-hour updates reflect a cooldown from early April's near-70°F spikes, with today's rainy conditions capping highs near 49°F; tomorrow's partial clearing could allow modest afternoon heating, but marine stratus and Puget Sound convergence zone effects differentiate the close 54-55°F (44%) and 56-57°F (36.5%) odds. Key uncertainty stems from cloud break timing, with new NWS advisories and 00Z model runs expected overnight potentially sharpening the outlook before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 16?
54-55°F 42%
56-57°F 35%
52-53°F 12%
58-59°F 9%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
42%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
9%
60°F or higher
2%
54-55°F 42%
56-57°F 35%
52-53°F 12%
58-59°F 9%
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
42%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
9%
60°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) of 54-57°F on April 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing highs clustered in this range amid lingering post-frontal clouds and onshore flow. Recent 24-hour updates reflect a cooldown from early April's near-70°F spikes, with today's rainy conditions capping highs near 49°F; tomorrow's partial clearing could allow modest afternoon heating, but marine stratus and Puget Sound convergence zone effects differentiate the close 54-55°F (44%) and 56-57°F (36.5%) odds. Key uncertainty stems from cloud break timing, with new NWS advisories and 00Z model runs expected overnight potentially sharpening the outlook before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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