Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 17–20°C, fueling trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5% slightly edging 17°C (23%) and 18°C (21%), reflecting model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Recent warmth peaked near 27°C on April 9 per METAR observations at Pudong Airport, but incoming northerly flows and increased cloud cover signal cooling, differentiating outcomes via diurnal heating potential, urban heat island amplification, and East China Sea sea-breeze moderation. Key variables include frontal timing and insolation; new 00Z model runs and April 12 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages hover near 19°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
20°C or higher 31%
17°C 22.4%
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
$33,310 Vol.
$33,310 Vol.
13 abr 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
9%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
19%
20°C or higher
31%
20°C or higher 31%
17°C 22.4%
18°C 22%
19°C 19%
$33,310 Vol.
$33,310 Vol.
13 abr 2026
10°C or below
$2,102 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,975 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,795 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,624 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,174 Vol.
1%
15°C
$3,793 Vol.
3%
16°C
$4,701 Vol.
9%
17°C
$4,462 Vol.
22%
18°C
$2,316 Vol.
22%
19°C
$1,581 Vol.
19%
20°C or higher
$3,839 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 17–20°C, fueling trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5% slightly edging 17°C (23%) and 18°C (21%), reflecting model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Recent warmth peaked near 27°C on April 9 per METAR observations at Pudong Airport, but incoming northerly flows and increased cloud cover signal cooling, differentiating outcomes via diurnal heating potential, urban heat island amplification, and East China Sea sea-breeze moderation. Key variables include frontal timing and insolation; new 00Z model runs and April 12 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages hover near 19°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$33,310Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 17–20°C, fueling trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5% slightly edging 17°C (23%) and 18°C (21%), reflecting model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Recent warmth peaked near 27°C on April 9 per METAR observations at Pudong Airport, but incoming northerly flows and increased cloud cover signal cooling, differentiating outcomes via diurnal heating potential, urban heat island amplification, and East China Sea sea-breeze moderation. Key variables include frontal timing and insolation; new 00Z model runs and April 12 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages hover near 19°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,310Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 17–20°C, fueling trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5% slightly edging 17°C (23%) and 18°C (21%), reflecting model spread amid inherent short-range uncertainty. Recent warmth peaked near 27°C on April 9 per METAR observations at Pudong Airport, but incoming northerly flows and increased cloud cover signal cooling, differentiating outcomes via diurnal heating potential, urban heat island amplification, and East China Sea sea-breeze moderation. Key variables include frontal timing and insolation; new 00Z model runs and April 12 observations will refine probabilities before resolution via official station data. Historical April averages hover near 19°C, underscoring typical spring variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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