Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, in a special election has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 80.5% in the VA-01 House race, enabling a Democratic-majority General Assembly to enact a new congressional map that redraws the district to include Democratic strongholds in Fairfax County while retaining rural Middle Peninsula areas. This shift transforms the longtime Republican seat held by incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman into a Democratic-leaning contest, with Rep. Eugene Vindman announcing a bid there in February. Absent polls, forecasters like Cook Political Report highlight the map's impact amid potential court challenges, with the Democratic primary set for August 4 and general election November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVA-01 House Election Winner
VA-01 House Election Winner
$16,746 Vol.
$16,746 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
25%
$16,746 Vol.
$16,746 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,684 Vol.
76%
Republican Party
$1,062 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, in a special election has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 80.5% in the VA-01 House race, enabling a Democratic-majority General Assembly to enact a new congressional map that redraws the district to include Democratic strongholds in Fairfax County while retaining rural Middle Peninsula areas. This shift transforms the longtime Republican seat held by incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman into a Democratic-leaning contest, with Rep. Eugene Vindman announcing a bid there in February. Absent polls, forecasters like Cook Political Report highlight the map's impact amid potential court challenges, with the Democratic primary set for August 4 and general election November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$16,746End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, in a special election has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 80.5% in the VA-01 House race, enabling a Democratic-majority General Assembly to enact a new congressional map that redraws the district to include Democratic strongholds in Fairfax County while retaining rural Middle Peninsula areas. This shift transforms the longtime Republican seat held by incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman into a Democratic-leaning contest, with Rep. Eugene Vindman announcing a bid there in February. Absent polls, forecasters like Cook Political Report highlight the map's impact amid potential court challenges, with the Democratic primary set for August 4 and general election November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,746End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia voters' approval of a constitutional amendment on April 21, 2026, in a special election has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 80.5% in the VA-01 House race, enabling a Democratic-majority General Assembly to enact a new congressional map that redraws the district to include Democratic strongholds in Fairfax County while retaining rural Middle Peninsula areas. This shift transforms the longtime Republican seat held by incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman into a Democratic-leaning contest, with Rep. Eugene Vindman announcing a bid there in February. Absent polls, forecasters like Cook Political Report highlight the map's impact amid potential court challenges, with the Democratic primary set for August 4 and general election November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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