Latest INMET forecasts project a maximum temperature of 30°C for São Paulo on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent low-level moisture, driving trader consensus toward 28–31°C outcomes where 29°C leads at 29.5% implied probability. This slight edge over 30°C (22.5%) reflects model ensemble spreads from international sources like AccuWeather (86°F or 30°C) and TimeandDate, tempered by potential afternoon cloud cover capping peak heating amid a sea breeze influence. April 2026 has trended 1.5°C above the 21°C monthly norm due to high-pressure ridging, but urban heat island effects and timing of insolation create 1–2°C uncertainty. Hourly INMET station data will resolve the market as observations accrue through tomorrow afternoon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 26%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
27°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
19%
29°C
26%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 26%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
27°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
19%
29°C
26%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest INMET forecasts project a maximum temperature of 30°C for São Paulo on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent low-level moisture, driving trader consensus toward 28–31°C outcomes where 29°C leads at 29.5% implied probability. This slight edge over 30°C (22.5%) reflects model ensemble spreads from international sources like AccuWeather (86°F or 30°C) and TimeandDate, tempered by potential afternoon cloud cover capping peak heating amid a sea breeze influence. April 2026 has trended 1.5°C above the 21°C monthly norm due to high-pressure ridging, but urban heat island effects and timing of insolation create 1–2°C uncertainty. Hourly INMET station data will resolve the market as observations accrue through tomorrow afternoon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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