Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating partly sunny skies with highs near 82°F under a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest promoting warm southerly winds at 15-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph. This setup delivers 20-25°F above the 60°F climatological average, but differentiating factors include model spread—GFS leaning warmer into low 80s with delayed cloudiness, ECMWF slightly cooler near 78°F amid higher late-afternoon shower chances (30%) that could cap peak heating. Timing of any convective development and boundary layer mixing remain key uncertainties, with evening NWS updates and new 00Z model runs potentially sharpening odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 17 aprile?
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 13%
NUOVO
$20,735 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,735 Vol.
17 apr 2026
71°F o meno
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o superiore
1%
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 13%
NUOVO
$20,735 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,735 Vol.
17 apr 2026
71°F o meno
$7,267 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,813 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,063 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$1,421 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$1,297 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$964 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$1,798 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$1,106 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$1,631 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$1,078 Vol.
1%
90°F o superiore
$1,311 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating partly sunny skies with highs near 82°F under a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest promoting warm southerly winds at 15-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph. This setup delivers 20-25°F above the 60°F climatological average, but differentiating factors include model spread—GFS leaning warmer into low 80s with delayed cloudiness, ECMWF slightly cooler near 78°F amid higher late-afternoon shower chances (30%) that could cap peak heating. Timing of any convective development and boundary layer mixing remain key uncertainties, with evening NWS updates and new 00Z model runs potentially sharpening odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$20,735Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating partly sunny skies with highs near 82°F under a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest promoting warm southerly winds at 15-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph. This setup delivers 20-25°F above the 60°F climatological average, but differentiating factors include model spread—GFS leaning warmer into low 80s with delayed cloudiness, ECMWF slightly cooler near 78°F amid higher late-afternoon shower chances (30%) that could cap peak heating. Timing of any convective development and boundary layer mixing remain key uncertainties, with evening NWS updates and new 00Z model runs potentially sharpening odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,735Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating partly sunny skies with highs near 82°F under a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest promoting warm southerly winds at 15-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph. This setup delivers 20-25°F above the 60°F climatological average, but differentiating factors include model spread—GFS leaning warmer into low 80s with delayed cloudiness, ECMWF slightly cooler near 78°F amid higher late-afternoon shower chances (30%) that could cap peak heating. Timing of any convective development and boundary layer mixing remain key uncertainties, with evening NWS updates and new 00Z model runs potentially sharpening odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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