Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF model runs showing a daytime peak in this narrow range amid overcast conditions and moderate northerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Current morning observations at Istanbul Airport (LTBA)—the NOAA recording site for market resolution—report temperatures around 10°C with high cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure trough over the Black Sea, suppressing typical spring warming. GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly on afternoon cloud thinning, with ECMWF leaning cooler at 12-13°C due to stronger cold-air advection, while GFS hints at 14°C if partial clearing occurs; historical mid-April averages near 16°C underscore today's below-normal setup. Hourly METAR updates through late afternoon will clarify the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?
12°C 37%
13°C 34%
14°C 26%
15°C 6.1%
NUOVO
$18,884 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,884 Vol.
16 apr 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
37%
13°C
34%
14°C
26%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 37%
13°C 34%
14°C 26%
15°C 6.1%
NUOVO
$18,884 Vol.
NUOVO
$18,884 Vol.
16 apr 2026
10°C or below
$3,712 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,394 Vol.
6%
12°C
$1,168 Vol.
37%
13°C
$734 Vol.
34%
14°C
$688 Vol.
26%
15°C
$4,000 Vol.
6%
16°C
$3,540 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$725 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$684 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$591 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF model runs showing a daytime peak in this narrow range amid overcast conditions and moderate northerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Current morning observations at Istanbul Airport (LTBA)—the NOAA recording site for market resolution—report temperatures around 10°C with high cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure trough over the Black Sea, suppressing typical spring warming. GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly on afternoon cloud thinning, with ECMWF leaning cooler at 12-13°C due to stronger cold-air advection, while GFS hints at 14°C if partial clearing occurs; historical mid-April averages near 16°C underscore today's below-normal setup. Hourly METAR updates through late afternoon will clarify the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$18,884Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF model runs showing a daytime peak in this narrow range amid overcast conditions and moderate northerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Current morning observations at Istanbul Airport (LTBA)—the NOAA recording site for market resolution—report temperatures around 10°C with high cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure trough over the Black Sea, suppressing typical spring warming. GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly on afternoon cloud thinning, with ECMWF leaning cooler at 12-13°C due to stronger cold-air advection, while GFS hints at 14°C if partial clearing occurs; historical mid-April averages near 16°C underscore today's below-normal setup. Hourly METAR updates through late afternoon will clarify the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,884Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF model runs showing a daytime peak in this narrow range amid overcast conditions and moderate northerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Current morning observations at Istanbul Airport (LTBA)—the NOAA recording site for market resolution—report temperatures around 10°C with high cloud cover from a lingering low-pressure trough over the Black Sea, suppressing typical spring warming. GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge slightly on afternoon cloud thinning, with ECMWF leaning cooler at 12-13°C due to stronger cold-air advection, while GFS hints at 14°C if partial clearing occurs; historical mid-April averages near 16°C underscore today's below-normal setup. Hourly METAR updates through late afternoon will clarify the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti