Latest ECMWF, GFS, and ICON ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C, with means near 18-19°C, fueling the tight trader consensus favoring 18°C (35.5%) and 19°C (33.5%) amid a transitional weather pattern featuring variable cloud cover and weak frontal influences over Central Europe. This model spread of ~2-3°C reflects inherent uncertainties in short-range numerical weather prediction, particularly diurnal heating potential and exact timing of peak insolation under partial sunshine. Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market; historical mid-April highs average 14°C, but a building high-pressure ridge supports warmer anomalies. Traders await final 12Z model runs today for potential shifts before tomorrow's observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
19°C 34%
18°C 33%
20°C 21%
17°C 4.9%
$14,922 Vol.
$14,922 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
33%
19°C
34%
20°C
21%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 34%
18°C 33%
20°C 21%
17°C 4.9%
$14,922 Vol.
$14,922 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
33%
19°C
34%
20°C
21%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF, GFS, and ICON ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C, with means near 18-19°C, fueling the tight trader consensus favoring 18°C (35.5%) and 19°C (33.5%) amid a transitional weather pattern featuring variable cloud cover and weak frontal influences over Central Europe. This model spread of ~2-3°C reflects inherent uncertainties in short-range numerical weather prediction, particularly diurnal heating potential and exact timing of peak insolation under partial sunshine. Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market; historical mid-April highs average 14°C, but a building high-pressure ridge supports warmer anomalies. Traders await final 12Z model runs today for potential shifts before tomorrow's observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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