Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
12°C 34%
11°C 30%
13℃ 21%
14℃ 6.5%
$12,350 Vol.
$12,350 Vol.
2026/04/13
9℃以下
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
30%
12°C
34%
13℃
21%
14℃
7%
15℃
2%
16℃
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 34%
11°C 30%
13℃ 21%
14℃ 6.5%
$12,350 Vol.
$12,350 Vol.
2026/04/13
9℃以下
$2,769 Vol.
5%
10°C
$1,099 Vol.
4%
11°C
$953 Vol.
30%
12°C
$619 Vol.
34%
13℃
$1,090 Vol.
21%
14℃
$1,975 Vol.
7%
15℃
$898 Vol.
2%
16℃
$838 Vol.
1%
17°C
$643 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$985 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$12,350終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,350終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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