India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 15 under clear skies turning mainly clear, with minimums around 22–23°C and relative humidity near 40%, yet traders imply a 42% chance for 40°C versus 33.5% for 39°C, reflecting uncertainty in peak heating amid escalating pre-monsoon warmth. Recent observations show temperatures rising from 36.1°C mid-week to around 38°C yesterday, driven by dry northwesterly winds (18–20 km/h) suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation. Differentiation between 39°C and 40°C depends on afternoon subsidence strength and urban heat island effects at the Lucknow Airport observatory; 41°C (12.5%) would need exceptional insolation. Monitor IMD hourly updates for resolution-defining data, as models carry ±1°C uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 15?
40°C 41%
39°C 34%
41°C 12%
38°C 5.9%
$34,310 Vol.
$34,310 Vol.
37°C or below
1%
38°C
6%
39°C
34%
40°C
41%
41°C
12%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
40°C 41%
39°C 34%
41°C 12%
38°C 5.9%
$34,310 Vol.
$34,310 Vol.
37°C or below
1%
38°C
6%
39°C
34%
40°C
41%
41°C
12%
42°C
2%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 39°C for Lucknow on April 15 under clear skies turning mainly clear, with minimums around 22–23°C and relative humidity near 40%, yet traders imply a 42% chance for 40°C versus 33.5% for 39°C, reflecting uncertainty in peak heating amid escalating pre-monsoon warmth. Recent observations show temperatures rising from 36.1°C mid-week to around 38°C yesterday, driven by dry northwesterly winds (18–20 km/h) suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation. Differentiation between 39°C and 40°C depends on afternoon subsidence strength and urban heat island effects at the Lucknow Airport observatory; 41°C (12.5%) would need exceptional insolation. Monitor IMD hourly updates for resolution-defining data, as models carry ±1°C uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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